Analyst Jiří Pehe says it is unlikely the president will call early elections
With Prime Minister Petr Nečas stepping down, there are a still a number of different scenarios according to which the current government crisis may be resolved. What is clear is that it all hinges on President Miloš Zeman, who has the power to appoint a new prime minister or even a new government all together. Radio Prague spoke to the political analyst Jiří Pehe and asked him what could realistically happen next.
“So, he may simply opt for a temporary government. And if he does so, there are two options: First, he could ask this coalition to create a government that will be in power until the regular elections, and that, of course, would be a government that would win the vote of confidence in the Parliament, or it would not, but it could still continue.
“Or, he could create his own government, so to speak – a government of experts, or a caretaker government. And that would follow the examples of Josef Tošovský’s or the Jan Fischer’s governments. And this government could stay in power until the elections in 2014. But it is really difficult to predict what will happen exactly, first, simply because Mr. Zeman has not played his cards yet, and, second, this is a case that may still expand and may affect other people in the current coalition and that would of course have some effect how this will continue.”
Does the scandal guarantee a victory for the Social Democrats in the next elections, no matter when they will be held? And does it also guarantee the fact that the Civic Democrats are more or less out of the game for now?
“As far as the Civic Democratic party goes, I really think that this party is in really big trouble, because it is not just that its top people are under investigation, but I think that what we saw on June 13th – the police raids – is just the beginning, and I think there will be more rounds to this. And much of it will be directed against people associated with the Civic Democratic party. So I really think that this particular partly is in deep trouble.”